Super Stats From 38 Manchester Derbies

This year’s first Manchester derby is just a few days away and it’s shaping up to be one of the best in years. Both teams have assembled arguably their best squads and staff of the last 3 or 4 seasons, and there is a buzz around the match that has been missing since Sir Alex left United 3 years ago.

After Alex Ferguson left Manchester United, City won the first 3 encounters, but have not won in the last 3 fixtures, with United winning twice and one draw in the Old Trafford fixture last season.

A Brief History Of One Of The Premier League’s Most Famous Derbies

Since the EPL started way back in 1992, City and United have met a whole seasons worth of times, exactly 38 fixtures. This makes for an interesting statistical analysis.

The Home/Away Balance

In the 38 Manchester derbies for the Premier League the home team has won 17 times, with the away team taking 14 wins, and a lowly 7 draws. With only an 18% chance of draw the Manchester derby has been a tasty encounter over the years.

In comparison Manchester United have drawn in 21% of their EPL fixtures over their 24 seasons, while Manchester City have drawn 25% of fixtures in their 19 seasons. There’s a not so hidden energy in this game that drives both teams to push for that win.

Who Has The Most Wins Over The 19 Seasons

With their EPL dominance in the nineties, Manchester United are firmly ahead in the winning stakes with 20 wins compared to Manchester City’s 11 wins in the derby. The stakes are a little more even if we look at just the last 10 years. Since the 06/07 season United have walked away with 10 victories to City’s 8, and just 2 draws. That’s just a 10% occurrence of a draw in the last 10 years which is a useful figure for the punters.

High Score Records And Other Interesting Stats

The highest scoring games have yielded 7 goals – occuring twice, both times at Old Trafford. Both are famous in the history of the fixture, Man Utd coming out 4-3 winners in a blockbuster match in 2009. And infamously Man City coming away from Old Trafford with a 6-1 thumping in 2011.

In fact over the 19 seasons where this fixture has occured (accounting for City’s 5 years outside the EPL) there has been an average of 2.8 goals per game. When you consider that only 3 of 38 matches have ended 0-0, there’s a good chance we are going to see a blockbuster game this weekend.